Construction Spending Data

12-2-2013 4-58-24 PMToday, the opening price on the E-mini S&P was (1804.75). Today’s high price was (1809) at 12:55 a.m. US/Eastern time. At 4:00 p.m. US/Eastern time, the low price of the day was (1797). The Construction Spending data represents the dollar value of new construction activity on residential, non-residential, and public projects. The data is available in nominal and real (inflation-adjusted) dollars. For the month of October construction outlays made a comeback. Construction outlays rebounded 0.8 percent after a decline of 0.3 percent in September. Public construction spending is up a monthly 3.9 percent, followed by a 1.9 percent decrease the month before. Private residential outlays went down 0.6 percent in October, following a 1.7 percent boost the month before. New 1-family spending declined 0.6 percent after rising 1.7 percent. Multi-family outlays went up 2.2 percent after jumping 4.3 percent in September. Residential outlays excluding new homes dropped 1.2 percent, following a gain of 3.6 percent the month before. Nonresidential private outlays dropped 0.5 percent in October, following a 1.0 percent decrease in September.

International Council of Shopping Centers

11-26-2013 4-38-42 PMThe E-mini S&P opening price today was (1801.75). Today, the price (1798.75) was hit at 10:10 a.m. US/Eastern time. The high price (1807) was reached at 3:30 p.m. Eastern time. Each week, the International Council of Shopping Centers publishes a report of the weekly measure of comparable store sales at major retail chains. Investors want to know about this report because accounts for roughly 10 percent of total retail sales. There is not much explanation as to why this weeks growth surged 2.6 percent while the year-on-year rate fell a sizable 7 tenths to only plus 2.1 percent. The trend in this report is that the Black Friday sales are going to be flat, which will not make or break November.

Eric Rosengren on Basill III

11-18-2013 4-41-48 PMThe opening price on the E-mini S&P today was (1798). The day’s high price was (1798.75) at 11:15 a.m. US/Eastern time. At 3:35 p.m. US/Eastern time, the low price of the day was (1784.75). Eric Rosengren, president of the Boston Federal Reserve Bank, came out in support for the narrower definition of capital under the global Basel III framework. In July, the Fed adopted the global Basel III rules in a commitment to draft tougher capital requirements for the largest banks. Basel III will force most banks to hold about three times as much top-quality capital as is required under existing rules, to reduce their risk and protect taxpayers from costly bailouts. The Federal Reserve Board will be required to undergo annual stress tests using three economic and financial market scenarios. Only a summary of the three official Fed scenarios would be made public. The rules would apply not only to banks but, also to all institutions with more than US$50 billion in assets. The Fed will begin implementing the Basel III framework in early 2014 and is expected to be fully implemented by 2019.

Federal Reserve Chairperson-Designate Janet Yellen

11-14-2013 4-41-25 PMThis morning at 10:00 a.m EST in Washington DC, Janet Yellen, Federal Reserve Chairperson-Designate, testified on monetary policy before the Senate Banking Committee. Unexpectedly, text of the testimony was released 17 hours earlier than the scheduled speaking time. Today’s testimony had a positive effect on currency. The testimony is normally given in two parts. First, the prepared statement is read and a text version is made available on the Fed’s website. The second part is a Q&A session, where the questions are not known beforehand. The questions, being unscripted, can lead to some moments of heavy market volatility, as traders try to predict the effect on the bank’s monetary policy.

Chain Store Sales

11-7-2013 5-40-53 PMToday, the opening price on the E-mini S&P was (1770.75). The day’s high price (1771.25) was hit at 9:50 a.m. US/Eastern time. The day’s low was (1742.25) at 3:55 p.m. US/Eastern time. Chain-store sales are mostly positive, but not by much. Compared to September, slightly more chains are reporting higher year-on-year sales rates in October, which appears to have gotten a lift from cold weather that boosted demand for seasonal goods. But the government shutdown was a negative, holding down spending in the first half of the month. The weekly chain-store reports have been mixed with slight monthly strength to weakness. Vehicle sales posted by manufacturers on last week’s calendar is another indication that October retail sales are flat. The October retail sales report was delayed slightly by last month’s government shutdown and will be posted on November 20.