Eric Rosengren on Basill III

11-18-2013 4-41-48 PMThe opening price on the E-mini S&P today was (1798). The day’s high price was (1798.75) at 11:15 a.m. US/Eastern time. At 3:35 p.m. US/Eastern time, the low price of the day was (1784.75). Eric Rosengren, president of the Boston Federal Reserve Bank, came out in support for the narrower definition of capital under the global Basel III framework. In July, the Fed adopted the global Basel III rules in a commitment to draft tougher capital requirements for the largest banks. Basel III will force most banks to hold about three times as much top-quality capital as is required under existing rules, to reduce their risk and protect taxpayers from costly bailouts. The Federal Reserve Board will be required to undergo annual stress tests using three economic and financial market scenarios. Only a summary of the three official Fed scenarios would be made public. The rules would apply not only to banks but, also to all institutions with more than US$50 billion in assets. The Fed will begin implementing the Basel III framework in early 2014 and is expected to be fully implemented by 2019.

Gallup U.S. Job Creation Index

11-6-2013 4-45-49 PMToday, the opening price on the E-mini S&P market was (1765.50). At 10:00 a.m. US/Eastern, the day’s high was (1770). The market’s low price point, (1760) was hit today at 11:10 a.m. US/Eastern. For the first time since April, the Gallup’s Job Creation Index has registered below +21, at +19. The index for October 2013 is similar to the October 2012 average, but is still higher than the low levels seen from the second half of 2008 through 2011. Gallup began tracking job creation in 2008. The index score from last month is tied for the most positive for any October since Gallup began tracking job creation. Federal worker reports of net hiring fell six points to minus 10 in the last month, most likely a result of the government shutdown. Net hiring reports among local government workers were just as bad, loosing six points for a score of +9 in October. State government workers net hiring score also dipped from +17 to +14. Overall, net hiring fell slightly in October mostly due to less hiring at all levels of government. Hiring still remains stronger than in recent years, with only federal workers reporting more layoffs than hiring.

Important Speeches on the Econony

11-1-2013 5-07-03 PMThe opening price on the E-mini S&P today was (1755). At 10:10 a.m. US/Eastern, the day’s high was (1761.25). The markets low price point, (1747) was hit today at 12:20 p.m. US/Eastern. There were three important speakers today reported on the Bloomberg Economic Calendar. James Bullard, the St Louis Federal Reserve Bank President gave a speech on the economy and monetary policy in St Louis. Narayana Kocherlakota, the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President gave opening remarks at healt conference in St. Paul. Jeffrey Lacker, the Richmond Federal Reserve Bank President gave a speech on interdependence in central banking in Philadelphia. There was no indication that the speakers had any significant impact on the market.

Treasury Budget

10-30-2013 chartThe opening price on the E-mini S&P today was (1769). About five minutes after the opening around 9:35 a.m. US/Eastern time, the day’s high was reached at (1770.50). The day’s low of (1751.75) was hit at 2:30 p.m. Eastern time. There was a big improvement in the deficit announced with the Treasury’s post of a $75.1 billion surplus in the month of September. In the fiscal year of 2013, the deficit fell 37 percent to $680 billion. Individual taxes led the 13.3 percent rise of receipts. Defense spending is down 6.3 percent, bringing The total decline of 2.3 percent.

Economic Calendar

10-18-2013 chart2Today the opening price on the E-mini S&P was (1733.75). The day’s low was (1730.25) at 10:35 a.m Eastern time. The day’s high of (1740.25) was reached at 2:50 p.m. Eastern time. On the Bloomberg Economic Calendar today, there were no significant reports that would indicate any major market movement. In the morning, Richmond Federal Reserve Bank President Jeffrey Lacker gave a speech where he spoke on the issue of “too big to fail” for financial institutions. He said it would be a “daunting” task to develop a resolution plan for allowing big banks to fail. Later in the day New York Fed President William Dudley was scheduled to speak; however, he did not address monetary policy.