Financial Sector Job-Cuts

12-5-2013 4-48-12 PMThe E-mini S&P opening price today was (1788). Today, the low price (1782) was hit at 3:05 p.m. US/Eastern time. The high price (1792) was reached at 10:15 p.m. Eastern time. The Challenger Job-Cut Report is a monthly report that counts and categorizes announcements of corporate layoffs based on mass layoff data from state departments of labor. This data must be analyzed with caution because it doesn’t distinguish between scheduled layoffs for the short-term or the long term, or whether job cuts are handled through attrition or actual layoffs. The report also does not include jobs eliminated in small batches over a longer time period. For the report in November this year, layoff announcements continue to run at 2-year highs, at 45,314. For the past four months, averages have been about 45,500. This is well above the prior average over a four month period, at 38,000. Most of these announcements are coming from the financial sector due to declinging foreclosures reducing staffing needs. The results of today’s report are no good indication for tomorrow’s big employment report.

Construction Spending Data

12-2-2013 4-58-24 PMToday, the opening price on the E-mini S&P was (1804.75). Today’s high price was (1809) at 12:55 a.m. US/Eastern time. At 4:00 p.m. US/Eastern time, the low price of the day was (1797). The Construction Spending data represents the dollar value of new construction activity on residential, non-residential, and public projects. The data is available in nominal and real (inflation-adjusted) dollars. For the month of October construction outlays made a comeback. Construction outlays rebounded 0.8 percent after a decline of 0.3 percent in September. Public construction spending is up a monthly 3.9 percent, followed by a 1.9 percent decrease the month before. Private residential outlays went down 0.6 percent in October, following a 1.7 percent boost the month before. New 1-family spending declined 0.6 percent after rising 1.7 percent. Multi-family outlays went up 2.2 percent after jumping 4.3 percent in September. Residential outlays excluding new homes dropped 1.2 percent, following a gain of 3.6 percent the month before. Nonresidential private outlays dropped 0.5 percent in October, following a 1.0 percent decrease in September.

International Council of Shopping Centers

11-26-2013 4-38-42 PMThe E-mini S&P opening price today was (1801.75). Today, the price (1798.75) was hit at 10:10 a.m. US/Eastern time. The high price (1807) was reached at 3:30 p.m. Eastern time. Each week, the International Council of Shopping Centers publishes a report of the weekly measure of comparable store sales at major retail chains. Investors want to know about this report because accounts for roughly 10 percent of total retail sales. There is not much explanation as to why this weeks growth surged 2.6 percent while the year-on-year rate fell a sizable 7 tenths to only plus 2.1 percent. The trend in this report is that the Black Friday sales are going to be flat, which will not make or break November.

EIA Natural Gas Report

11-21-2013 3-18-05 PMOn the the E-mini S&P, the opening price was (1784.25). The day’s high price at (1795.50) was reached at 3:20 p.m. US/Eastern Time. Today, the low price (1783.50) was hit about 5 minutes after the market opening. Each week, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) gives a report on natural gas stocks in underground storage for the U.S. and three regions of the country. This is important information for investors because prices for natural gas products are determined based on the level of inventories. In this week’s report, there was a drop of 45 billion cubic feet leaving 3,789 bcf of natural gas in inventories in the week of November 15. The expectation this week was a draw of about 35 bcf. This report has little or no impact on the market.

Eric Rosengren on Basill III

11-18-2013 4-41-48 PMThe opening price on the E-mini S&P today was (1798). The day’s high price was (1798.75) at 11:15 a.m. US/Eastern time. At 3:35 p.m. US/Eastern time, the low price of the day was (1784.75). Eric Rosengren, president of the Boston Federal Reserve Bank, came out in support for the narrower definition of capital under the global Basel III framework. In July, the Fed adopted the global Basel III rules in a commitment to draft tougher capital requirements for the largest banks. Basel III will force most banks to hold about three times as much top-quality capital as is required under existing rules, to reduce their risk and protect taxpayers from costly bailouts. The Federal Reserve Board will be required to undergo annual stress tests using three economic and financial market scenarios. Only a summary of the three official Fed scenarios would be made public. The rules would apply not only to banks but, also to all institutions with more than US$50 billion in assets. The Fed will begin implementing the Basel III framework in early 2014 and is expected to be fully implemented by 2019.